Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.106478 0.123087 0.141200 0.162389 0.186463 0.212932 0.244206
2024-12-29 0.085259 0.108283 0.135569 0.170158 0.212690 0.263128 0.327304
2025-01-05 0.068019 0.093987 0.127123 0.172195 0.231544 0.306621 0.408318
2025-01-12 0.053546 0.079946 0.115984 0.168217 0.241320 0.339207 0.479240
2025-01-19 0.043507 0.069724 0.107770 0.166152 0.252410 0.373841 0.556024
2025-01-26 0.038627 0.065900 0.107662 0.175010 0.279267 0.432451 0.671739
2025-02-02 0.034455 0.062302 0.107109 0.182729 0.304865 0.491368 0.793427
2025-02-09 0.028575 0.054784 0.099102 0.177350 0.309122 0.518071 0.868584
2025-02-16 0.024496 0.049599 0.094047 0.175855 0.318982 0.553835 0.960495
2025-02-23 0.020702 0.044225 0.087789 0.171266 0.322777 0.579654 1.038067
2025-03-02 0.017706 0.039821 0.082574 0.167687 0.327608 0.607179 1.120307
2025-03-09 0.015982 0.037659 0.081216 0.170951 0.344829 0.657156 1.244776
2025-03-16 0.013589 0.033713 0.075905 0.166138 0.346928 0.681319 1.327422
2025-03-23 0.012688 0.032902 0.076850 0.173869 0.373819 0.752857 1.501709
2025-03-30 0.011398 0.030955 0.075111 0.175838 0.389546 0.804990 1.644607
2025-04-06 0.009830 0.028032 0.070789 0.171727 0.392433 0.832783 1.743762
2025-04-13 0.008619 0.025761 0.067585 0.169592 0.399093 0.868344 1.860616
2025-04-20 0.008228 0.025569 0.069227 0.178600 0.430478 0.955854 2.086730
2025-04-27 0.007795 0.025179 0.070327 0.186456 0.460082 1.042054 2.316641
2025-05-04 0.006735 0.022793 0.066077 0.180972 0.459134 1.064530 2.417731
2025-05-11 0.005993 0.021189 0.063585 0.179446 0.467040 1.106306 2.562068
2025-05-18 0.005217 0.019303 0.060041 0.174769 0.466961 1.130634 2.670993
2025-05-25 0.004579 0.017715 0.057055 0.171122 0.468910 1.159462 2.791623